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Rates on hold
Real Estate Business News, 06/03/2012
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The Reserve Bank of Australia has left the official cash rate on hold at 4.25 per cent for the second consecutive month.

In the minutes of the Monetary Board Meeting, the Board said that "the expectation that the world economy will grow at a below-trend pace this year, but does not suggest that a deep downturn is occurring.

"Most information on the Australian economy continues to suggest growth close to trend overall, with differences between sectors and considerable structural change. Labour market conditions softened during 2011 and the unemployment rate increased slightly in mid year, though it has been steady over recent months. CPI inflation has declined as expected and will fall further over the next quarter or two."

"Interest rates for borrowers have generally risen slightly since the Board's previous meeting, but remain close to their medium-term average. Credit growth remains modest. Housing prices have shown some sign of stabilising recently, after having declined for most of 2011, but generally the housing market remains soft."

The decision was largely expected, with most economists now expecting rates to stay on hold until mid-year.

RP Data’s research director Tim Lawless said capital city home values were down just 0.2 per cent over the three months leading up to the interest rate decision.

“A return to stability in the housing market is precisely the outcome the RBA have been aiming for with respect to housing market conditions,” Mr Lawless said.

“The full impact of the rate cuts from November and December last year is yet to be seen, however to date there has seen a subtle improvement in transaction numbers prior to the Christmas slow down.

“Housing finance data from the ABS has also been trending upwards suggesting we are likely to see the number of home sales continue to show modest increases over the coming months.

“Based on the recent data flows it is becoming increasingly clear that the housing market is likely to be less of a concern to the RBA.

“Mortgage arrears appear to be in check, home values are stabilising and transaction volumes are starting to tick up.”

Mr Lawless said any future downwards movement in the cash rate is likely to be more reflective of ongoing global uncertainty rather than a response to a further slowdown in housing market conditions.

“In fact, we believe that the RBA is likely to be quite comfortable with the current state of Australian housing market but will continue to closely monitoring conditions over the coming months to measure the ongoing affect of the interest rate environment on borrowing and value movements.”
 


Article 1: Rates on hold

Article 2: Each way bet for rate cut

Article 3: Property outlook brightens

Article 4: Property prices to grow 5% in 2012

Article 5: Buyer activity to edge higher on rate cut: RP Data

Article 6: Big Savings Ahead

Article 7: RBA Lowers Rates

Article 8: Award Wins for Mortgage Solutions Australia

Article 9: Lenders loosen criteria

Article 10: Sydney, Perth property prices to grow 20pc

Article 11: Buy, sell activity set to soar in New Year

Article 12: WA property market finally on the move

Article 13: Industry calls for abolishment of stamp duty

Article 14: Buyers eye return to property market in spring

Article 15: Borrowers creep back into market

Article 16: Cash rate to dictate fixed demand

Article 17: Buying a house? Get a mortgage discount

Article 18: Broker customer service beats the banks

Article 19: Weak new home sales could spark buyer interest

Article 20: 'Top time to buy' as housing costs fall

Article 21: "Mortgage Rates on hold"

Article 22: More lenders slash rates

Article 23: Brokers tip rate cut

Article 24: Is the mood of the property market changing?

Article 25: Westpac predicts rate cut

Article 26: Fixed vs Variable… the vast majority prefer to move with the market

Article 27: Qualified Brokers Only Please!!!

Article 28: Perth housing prices tipped to leap 20pc

Article 29: Major cuts rate on no fee loan

Article 30: Improved conditions for retailers

Article 31: China: Inflation dragon being tamed

Article 32: Job market cools; Rate hikes off the agenda

Article 33: Is the tide starting to turn for the Perth housing market?

Article 34: Perth Real Estate Market Activity

Article 35: Goldilocks and no interest rate bears

Article 36: Aussies go on a health kick

Article 37: Raising Awareness

Article 38: RBA acknowledges economic slowdown

Article 39: Residential construction to rebound: HIA

Article 40:

 

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